Potential predictability of the Ethiopian summer rains: Understandinglocal variations and their implications for water management decisions

Authors: Meron Teferi Taye, Ellen Dyer, Katrina J. Charles, Linda C. Hirons

Ethiopia has complex climate conditions that make it difficult to apply forecasts at appropriate scales for water management decisions. In this study, drivers of Ethiopia's main rainy season, July–September, are investigated using correlation analysis with sea surface temperature. The analysis identifies spatial variability of relationships, and interactions, that offer additional information to support development of seasonal forecasting.



Kelly Ann Naylor, Associate Director, Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) Section, Programme Division, UNICEF

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